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Sorry James but the math doesn’t math…
New analysis from OnlyFans search engine OnlyGuider reveals the financial claims from Florida Republican Governor hopeful James Fishback, on a proposed 50% “sin tax” on OnlyFans creators in Florida are based on dramatically overstated assumptions about creator earnings and platform economics.
According to OnlyGuider’s newly released OnlyFans Wrapped 2025 report, Florida residents spent $159,679,636.36 on OnlyFans in 2025. That’s just over $437k per day.
This represents $68,320.28 per 10,000 residents, placing Florida 11% below the national per-capita average of $77,334.29.
Nationally, U.S. consumers spent an estimated $2.64 billion on OnlyFans in 2025, according to the study.
Hundreds of Millions of dollars in tax revenue for Florida??
Here’s where the math falls apart for James’s announcement….
Based on a representative dataset of 300,000 OnlyFans models, OnlyGuider estimates there are approximately 119,600 OnlyFans creators based in Florida. Onlyguiders internal earnings modeling shows that the average creator earns just $1,300 annually before OnlyFans’ 20% commission.
This places the total Florida Onlyfans creator revenue pool at approximately $124.4 million per year — assuming no creators leave the state.
Under a hypothetical 50% tax on creator earnings, the maximum possible annual tax revenue would be roughly $62.2 million, less than one-third of the “hundreds of millions” figure that has been publicly suggested — and that assumes zero creator relocation or platform exit, a scenario OnlyGuider analysts view as highly unlikely.
“Our data shows that creator earnings are far more modest than public rhetoric suggests,” said Sam Pierce, CEO of OnlyGuider. “Any serious policy discussion should be grounded in real economics, and take into account the realistic prospect of an almost overnight disappearing tax base, otherwise it’s just fantasy.”
OnlyGuider’s Florida analysis includes spending data for all 67 Florida counties, providing the most detailed geographic view of the OnlyFans economy ever assembled.
How much every Florida county spent on Onlyfans in 2025
| 2025 Rank | County Name | Total 2025 Spend | 2025 Spend/10k Pop |
| 1 | Hamilton County | $ 244,792.73 | $ 170,777.68 |
| 2 | Orange County | $ 17,283,636.36 | $ 112,696.39 |
| 3 | Monroe County | $ 774,236.36 | $ 95,693.43 |
| 4 | Hillsborough County | $ 15,043,818.18 | $ 95,128.18 |
| 5 | Duval County | $ 9,110,945.45 | $ 86,346.66 |
| 6 | Miami-Dade County | $ 23,729,727.27 | $ 83,600.68 |
| 7 | Levy County | $ 396,818.18 | $ 83,077.19 |
| 8 | Gadsden County | $ 352,727.27 | $ 79,891.12 |
| 9 | Hendry County | $ 350,963.64 | $ 76,081.43 |
| 10 | Okeechobee County | $ 320,981.82 | $ 75,758.65 |
| 11 | Osceola County | $ 3,419,690.91 | $ 73,061.26 |
| 12 | Hardee County | $ 185,534.55 | $ 71,173.30 |
| 13 | Putnam County | $ 527,327.27 | $ 68,217.39 |
| 14 | Hernando County | $ 1,476,163.64 | $ 67,667.37 |
| 15 | Walton County | $ 597,872.73 | $ 66,677.75 |
| 16 | Lee County | $ 5,724,763.64 | $ 66,492.87 |
| 17 | Escambia County | $ 2,169,272.73 | $ 65,482.54 |
| 18 | Bay County | $ 1,299,800.00 | $ 65,081.77 |
| 19 | Okaloosa County | $ 1,396,800.00 | $ 63,351.82 |
| 20 | Gilchrist County | $ 125,041.82 | $ 61,800.93 |
| 21 | Polk County | $ 5,267,981.82 | $ 61,767.12 |
| 22 | Marion County | $ 2,641,927.27 | $ 61,597.03 |
| 23 | Volusia County | $ 3,698,345.45 | $ 61,355.63 |
| 24 | Sarasota County | $ 2,878,254.55 | $ 60,390.90 |
| 25 | Martin County | $ 987,636.36 | $ 59,616.12 |
| 26 | Brevard County | $ 3,901,163.64 | $ 59,247.95 |
| 27 | Pasco County | $ 3,901,163.64 | $ 59,188.00 |
| 28 | Seminole County | $ 2,925,872.73 | $ 59,155.75 |
| 29 | Highlands County | $ 647,254.55 | $ 58,960.31 |
| 30 | Alachua County | $ 1,710,727.27 | $ 58,630.32 |
| 31 | Leon County | $ 1,742,472.73 | $ 57,988.10 |
| 32 | Columbia County | $ 428,563.64 | $ 57,932.01 |
| 33 | Pinellas County | $ 5,585,436.36 | $ 57,828.03 |
| 34 | Clay County | $ 1,365,054.55 | $ 57,655.62 |
| 35 | St. Lucie County | $ 2,246,872.73 | $ 57,513.32 |
| 36 | Taylor County | $ 123,630.91 | $ 56,599.78 |
| 37 | Manatee County | $ 2,557,272.73 | $ 55,792.77 |
| 38 | Suwannee County | $ 252,200.00 | $ 53,054.53 |
| 39 | Indian River County | $ 904,745.45 | $ 52,559.00 |
| 40 | Lake County | $ 2,333,290.91 | $ 52,527.46 |
| 41 | Santa Rosa County | $ 1,077,581.82 | $ 51,893.39 |
| 42 | Calhoun County | $ 67,723.64 | $ 51,004.40 |
| 43 | Union County | $ 77,423.64 | $ 49,195.35 |
| 44 | Palm Beach County | $ 7,740,600.00 | $ 48,927.50 |
| 45 | Collier County | $ 2,021,127.27 | $ 48,557.59 |
| 46 | Broward County | $ 9,622,400.00 | $ 47,227.15 |
| 47 | Madison County | $ 85,536.36 | $ 46,578.29 |
| 48 | DeSoto County | $ 171,072.73 | $ 46,558.00 |
| 49 | Charlotte County | $ 966,472.73 | $ 45,562.12 |
| 50 | Nassau County | $ 474,418.18 | $ 45,452.80 |
| 51 | St. Johns County | $ 1,502,618.18 | $ 44,863.92 |
| 52 | Flagler County | $ 601,400.00 | $ 43,979.99 |
| 53 | Jackson County | $ 219,749.09 | $ 43,967.41 |
| 54 | Citrus County | $ 714,272.73 | $ 41,973.08 |
| 55 | Baker County | $ 118,340.00 | $ 40,354.65 |
| 56 | Gulf County | $ 63,314.55 | $ 39,880.67 |
| 57 | Jefferson County | $ 61,550.91 | $ 38,660.20 |
| 58 | Wakulla County | $ 138,974.55 | $ 37,444.31 |
| 59 | Bradford County | $ 98,410.91 | $ 35,052.86 |
| 60 | Sumter County | $ 539,672.73 | $ 34,886.69 |
| 61 | Lafayette County | $ 28,218.18 | $ 32,659.93 |
| 62 | Franklin County | $ 39,152.73 | $ 30,166.21 |
| 63 | Holmes County | $ 58,552.73 | $ 29,459.01 |
| 64 | Dixie County | $ 42,680.00 | $ 24,230.73 |
| 65 | Washington County | $ 52,380.00 | $ 19,763.80 |
| 66 | Liberty County | $ 11,816.36 | $ 14,854.01 |
| 67 | Glades County | $ 16,049.09 | $ 12,221.36 |
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